{"id":15926,"date":"2023-01-03T10:20:44","date_gmt":"2023-01-03T07:20:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/basta2.com\/?p=15926"},"modified":"2023-01-03T10:20:44","modified_gmt":"2023-01-03T07:20:44","slug":"q%c9%99rb-ekspertl%c9%99ri-daha-bir-az%c9%99rbaycan-erm%c9%99nistan-muharib%c9%99si-haqqinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/?p=15926","title":{"rendered":"Q\u0259rb ekspertl\u0259ri daha bir Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan m\u00fcharib\u0259si haqq\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u201cO<\/strong><strong>\u00a0bunu<\/strong><strong>\u00a0ed<\/strong><strong>\u0259c<\/strong><strong>\u0259k<\/strong><strong>, yoxsa<\/strong><strong>\u00a0etm<\/strong><strong>\u0259y<\/strong><strong>\u0259c<\/strong><strong>\u0259k<\/strong><strong>? Ke\u00e7\u0259n il bu vaxt bu bir sual idi. Rusiya prezidenti Ukrayna s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 200 minlik qo\u015fun c\u0259ml\u0259\u015fdirmi\u015fdi. AB\u015e k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131 x\u0259b\u0259rdarl\u0131q edirdi ki, Rusiya tammiqyasl\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rla\u015f\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn \u0259lam\u0259tl\u0259r bel\u0259 bir h\u00fccumun olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rirdi. Amma yen\u0259 d\u0259 bel\u0259 bir add\u0131m a\u011flas\u0131\u011fmaz say\u0131l\u0131rd\u0131\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Beyn\u0259lxalq B\u00f6hran Qrupunun r\u0259hb\u0259ri\u00a0<strong>Komfort Ero<\/strong>\u00a0v\u0259 onun icra\u00e7\u0131 vitse-prezidenti\u00a0<strong>Ri\u00e7ard Etvud<\/strong>un (Richard Atwood)\u00a0<a class=\"wsw__a\" href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2023\/01\/01\/ukraine-yemen-armenia-congo-iran-ethiopia-haiti-10-conflicts-2023\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Foreign Policy<\/a>\u00a0jurnal\u0131nda d\u0259rc olunmu\u015f m\u0259qal\u0259sind\u0259 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 10 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin proqnozlu t\u0259hlili verilib.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0259qal\u0259d\u0259 deyilir ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259si b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnya boyunca \u0259ks-s\u0259da vers\u0259 d\u0259, onun \u0259n k\u0259skin t\u0259siri C\u0259nubi Qafqazda hiss olunur.<\/p>\n<p>Ekspertl\u0259rin fikrinc\u0259, Qaraba\u011f u\u011frunda son m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n sonra bel\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr, Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan daha bir qar\u015f\u0131durmaya do\u011fru gedirl\u0259r, Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynadak\u0131 \u201cm\u0259\u015f\u0259qq\u0259tl\u0259ri\u201d is\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazdak\u0131 \u201cb\u00fct\u00fcn hesablar\u0131 qar\u0131\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Ero v\u0259 Etvud hesab edirl\u0259r ki, Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda yeni m\u00fcharib\u0259 44 g\u00fcnl\u00fck m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n \u201cq\u0131sa olsa da, he\u00e7 d\u0259 ondan az dramatik olmayacaq\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0259qal\u0259d\u0259 deyilir ki, 7000 \u0259sg\u0259rin h\u0259yat\u0131na son qoymu\u015f h\u0259min m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri 1990-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259n Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259tind\u0259 olan Qaraba\u011f\u0131n b\u0259zi hiss\u0259l\u0259ri v\u0259 \u0259traf rayonlar \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259tini b\u0259rpa edib. Bunun ard\u0131nca Moskvan\u0131n vasit\u0259\u00e7ilyi il\u0259 at\u0259\u015fk\u0259s elan olunub.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Erm\u0259nistan Qaraba\u011fa status t\u0259l\u0259bind\u0259n geri \u00e7\u0259kils\u0259 d\u0259<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>M\u0259qal\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259llifl\u0259ri yaz\u0131rlar ki, o vaxtdan b\u0259ri balans Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n xeyrin\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fib. Erm\u0259nistan n\u0259 ordusunu, n\u0259 d\u0259 silahlar\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259z\u0259l\u0259y\u0259 bilm\u0259yib. Onun \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi m\u00fctt\u0259fiqi olan Rusiyan\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc silah-sursat sar\u0131dan korluq \u00e7\u0259kir. Az\u0259rbaycan is\u0259, \u0259ksin\u0259 g\u00fccl\u0259nir. Onun ordusu Erm\u0259nistan ordusundan bir ne\u00e7\u0259 d\u0259f\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr, daha yax\u015f\u0131 t\u0259chiz olunur v\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259nir. \u00dcst\u0259lik d\u0259 Avropan\u0131n t\u0259bii qaza olan k\u0259skin t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131 Bak\u0131n\u0131 c\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259ndirib.<\/p>\n<p>Bu da qeyd olunur ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynadak\u0131 u\u011fursuzluqlar\u0131 bu m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015fqa bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n d\u0259 t\u0259sir edir. Rusiya s\u00fclhm\u0259raml\u0131lar\u0131 h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 erm\u0259nil\u0259r ya\u015fayan Qaraba\u011fda yerl\u0259\u015fdirilib. Rusiya habel\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan-Az\u0259rbaycan s\u0259rh\u0259dind\u0259ki q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirib. \u00dcmid buna qal\u0131b ki, kontingent ki\u00e7ik d\u0259 olsa, Bak\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0259kindir\u0259r, \u00e7\u00fcnki o Moskvan\u0131 iyn\u0259l\u0259m\u0259k ist\u0259m\u0259z.<\/p>\n<p>Bununla bel\u0259, Rusiya q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri \u00f6t\u0259n il bir ne\u00e7\u0259 toqqu\u015fman\u0131 dayand\u0131ra bilm\u0259yib. Az\u0259rbaycan mart v\u0259 aprel aylar\u0131nda Qaraba\u011fda bir az da \u0259razil\u0259r \u0259l\u0259 ke\u00e7irib.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraynadak\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259 s\u00fclh dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131na da k\u00f6lg\u0259 sal\u0131b. 2020-ci il raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 regionda iqtisadi v\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat kommunikasiyalar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7mal\u0131 idi. G\u00fcman edilirdi ki, qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 ticar\u0259t ba\u011flar\u0131 kompromisi asanla\u015fd\u0131racaq. \u018fslind\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan Qaraba\u011f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn x\u00fcsusi status t\u0259l\u0259bind\u0259n geri \u00e7\u0259kilib, amma h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 onlar\u0131n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyin\u0259 qarantiya ist\u0259yir. Az\u0259rbaycan bel\u0259 bir qarantiyalar\u0131 ver\u0259c\u0259yni iddia edib.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.azadliq.org\/embed\/player\/0\/32199137.html?type=video\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u201cSonda Bak\u0131 ist\u0259diyini zor g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u0259 ala bil\u0259r\u201d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>M\u0259qal\u0259d\u0259 deyilir ki, 2021-ci ilin sonlar\u0131nda Moskva Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyini q\u0259bul etmi\u015fdi. O \u00fcmid edirdi ki, bununla onun s\u00fclhm\u0259raml\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u0259n y\u00fck d\u0259 bir az y\u00fcng\u00fcll\u0259\u015f\u0259c\u0259k. Lakin Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si ba\u015flanandan sonra Moskva A\u0130-nin diplomatiyas\u0131n\u0131 onun bu regiondak\u0131 t\u0259sirini d\u0259 cilovlamaq c\u0259hdi kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p>N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 haz\u0131rda ortal\u0131qda iki m\u00fcqavil\u0259 layih\u0259si var. Bunlardan birini Moskva haz\u0131rlay\u0131b. \u0130kinci layih\u0259ni Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u00f6zl\u0259ri Q\u0259rbin d\u0259st\u0259yi il\u0259 ir\u0259li s\u00fcr\u00fcbl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu layih\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 stabillik, habel\u0259 iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda kommunikasiya v\u0259 ticar\u0259t kimi m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulub. Qaraba\u011f m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si bir t\u0259r\u0259f\u0259 qoyulub.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0259qal\u0259d\u0259 deyilir ki, iki \u00f6lk\u0259nin layih\u0259si daha \u00fcmidverici g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr, \u00e7\u00fcnki onu t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin \u00f6zl\u0259ri haz\u0131rlay\u0131blar. Amma bu raz\u0131la\u015fmaya Moskvan\u0131n nec\u0259 yana\u015faca\u011f\u0131 b\u0259lli deyil <em>(Putin bu layih\u0259ni &#8220;Qaraba\u011f\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycan t\u0259rkibind\u0259 qalmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutan Va\u015finqton plan\u0131&#8221; adland\u0131r\u0131b &#8211; Basta)<\/em>. Nec\u0259 olursa olsun t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r aras\u0131nda fikir ixtilaf\u0131 qal\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn kartlar Bak\u0131n\u0131n \u0259lind\u0259dir v\u0259 o ehtimal ki, ticar\u0259t v\u0259 xarici siyas\u0259t bax\u0131m\u0131ndan sazi\u015fd\u0259n, h\u0259rbi yolla nail olaca\u011f\u0131ndan daha \u00e7ox qazana bil\u0259rdi.<\/p>\n<p>Sonda Komfort Ero v\u0259 Ri\u00e7ard Etvud yaz\u0131rlar:<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cT\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 ondad\u0131r ki, dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar he\u00e7 bir yer\u0259 apar\u0131b \u00e7\u0131xarm\u0131r v\u0259 daha bir alovlanma h\u0259m Moskvan\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 Q\u0259rbin d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259diyi c\u0131\u011f\u0131rlar\u0131 poza, Az\u0259rbaycan is\u0259 ist\u0259diyini zor g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u0259 ala bil\u0259r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Azadl\u0131qRadiosu<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cO\u00a0bunu\u00a0ed\u0259c\u0259k, yoxsa\u00a0etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k? Ke\u00e7\u0259n il bu vaxt bu bir sual idi. Rusiya prezidenti Ukrayna s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 200 minlik qo\u015fun c\u0259ml\u0259\u015fdirmi\u015fdi. AB\u015e k\u0259\u015ffiyyat\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3243,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-manset","category-siyast"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/topcular2.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15926"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15926\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15927,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15926\/revisions\/15927"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/basta2.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}